信息资源管理学报 ›› 2022, Vol. 12 ›› Issue (6): 58-69.doi: 10.13365/j.jirm.2022.06.058

• 研究论文 • 上一篇    下一篇

情景驱动的重大突发公共卫生事件快速防控框架设计

于峰1,2 樊博1,2 邓青3   

  1. 1.上海交通大学国际与公共事务学院,上海,200030; 
    2.上海交通大学应急管理学院,上海,200030;
    3.北京科技大学大安全科学研究院,北京,100083
  • 出版日期:2022-11-26 发布日期:2023-01-07
  • 作者简介:于峰,博士,助理教授,研究方向为应急案例推理、应急准备控错;樊博(通讯作者),博士,教授,博导,研究方向为应急管理、数字治理,Email:fanbo@sjtu.edu.cn;邓青,博士,讲师,研究方向为应急情景推演、公共卫生事件应对策略评估。
  • 基金资助:
    本文系国家自然科学基金青年项目“案例驱动下韧性城市应对级联灾害风险的情景设计方法”(71904121)、上海市“科技创新行动计划”软科学研究项目(青年项目)“科技创新驱动下上海应急管理数字化转型的赋能路径研究”(22692195800)、国家自然科学基金重点项目“面向复杂公共事务的跨组织与跨部门协同机制研究”(72134005)阶段性研究成果之一。

Scenario-Driven Rapid Prevention and Control Framework Design to Major Public Health Emergency

Yu Feng1,2 Fan Bo1,2 Deng Qing3   

  1. 1. School of International and Public Affairs, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200030;
    2. School of Emergency Management, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, 200030; 
    3. Research Institute of Macro-Safety Science, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing, 100083
  • Online:2022-11-26 Published:2023-01-07

摘要: 重大突发公共卫生事件应对往往受时间窗约束,本研究面向风险研判、决策支持、防控改进构建了一类快速防控框架。该框架遵循情景“认知-提示-应对”模式,一是以“数据-流程-本体”驱动级联风险的快速研判,二是采用案例推理快速支持防控方案决策,三是基于预案强化、协同优化、容错规划快速构建防控体系韧性。所提框架符合应急管理快速反应与协同应对的工作原则,有利于提升重大突发公共卫生事件应急能力。

关键词: 重大突发公共卫生事件, 快速防控, 情景驱动, “物理-信息-心理”空间, 框架设计

Abstract: This paper builds a rapid prevention and control framework for risk judgment, decision support, and prevention and control improvement, as major public health emergencies are often constrained by time window. The framework follows the “cognition-prompt-response” mode. First, “data-process-ontology” drives the rapid judgment of cascading risks. Second, case-based reasoning is adopted to quickly support the decision-making of prevention and control plan. Third, prevention and control system resilience is rapidly built based on plan strengthening, collaboration optimizing, and fault-tolerant planning. The proposed framework is consistent with the working principle of rapid reaction and collaborative response in emergency management. It is conducive to improving the emergency capability to major public health emergencies.

Key words: Major public health emergency, Rapid prevention and control, Scenario-driven, “Physical-information-psychological” space, Framework design

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