关键词: 政府政策评估, 　大城市病, 　定量方法, 　舆情分析, 　北京市摇号购车

Abstract:

Urban diseases have become serious issues in the way of city’s scientific and sustainable development. The Chinese government has introduced a series of policies to deal with these crises and their effects need further observation and evaluation. A quantitative evaluation model for policies that aims to solve urban diseases will provide in-depth interpretation of policy effect and reference for policy adjustment. Based on the existing research results, this paper presents a synthetic evaluation model, which combines the characteristics of goal-attainment model and client-oriented model, drawing on the idea of network public opinion analysis in information science and uses both quantitative and qualitative methods to assess the objective and subjective aspects of policy effect. Finally, Beijing license-plate lottery policy is taken as an empirical case study. The results show that the policy is effective from the objective data but receives low public satisfaction, an analysis of this conflict is given behind. The rationality and feasibility of the model is verified. This will further optimize and improve policies for related departments.

Key words: Government policy evaluation, 　Urban disease, 　Quantitative method, 　Public opinion analysis, 　Beijing license-plate lottery policy